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How Enterprise Software Companies are Getting “Blue Starred”

Saturday, July 24th, 2010

In the movie Wall Street Gordon Gekko attempt s to buy-out and liquidate Blue Star Airlines in order to extract $75M from their over-funded pension.   Gordon Gekko sings the turn-around tune to  union leaders yet his true intentions to liquidate become apparent to all and the showdown between Gordon and his naïve protégé Bud Fox (his father is a union leader at Blue Star) begins.  After having dinner with an old friend from the enterprise software world I realized a form of liquidation is now hitting the enterprise software business.  These companies are getting “Blue Starred.”   Buyout firms are extracting value from enterprise software leaving business users with systems that barely work.

First, lets begin with some context on the enterprise software business.  During the golden years (nineties) of enterprise software – companies like Siebel, Peoplesoft, ePhipany and many more brought software from the back-office (order processing and billing) into the hands of sales reps, customer service, marketing, and human resources (commonly referred to as the front-office).  The license based enterprise software revenue model works like this.  They sell $1M worth of software licenses and then charge companies annual maintenance fees (approximately 20% of the original license cost) for patches and incremental versions of the software.   So, a $1M license software deal actually translated into $2M over five years ($200K annual maintenance fees times five years plus the original license deal of $1M.)   Once a customer installs the software they are effectively locked in for many years.  These maintenance revenue streams are highly profitable as they not paying sales commissions and support costs are spread across thousands of customers.

With that context, it’s pretty clear what buyout firms are doing.  Acquire an enterprise software company with a significant customer base, cut new product development, move support to a low-cost labor market, and milk the maintenance revenue stream.

Yes, this is part of the natural product lifecycle – these are companies on their death-bed.   But the unfortunate part of this is that users (customer service agents, payroll admin, and hiring managers) are stuck with barely usable (try using Oracle Applications) and now largely unsupported tools.

Given the improvements in user experience (Apple) and collaboration tools (Facebook, LinkedIn, etc.) over the past five years these older software tools are a massive productivity drain for millions of users.  There needs to be a better and faster way to flush out mostly defunct enterprise systems and migrate users quickly to something usable.  There is hope, companies like Yammer cleverly bypasses traditional IT purchasers and first hooks the people that matter most — the users.

Three Ways for Groupon to Start Building Defensibility

Wednesday, July 14th, 2010

Riding Groupon’s recent success competitors are popping up practically daily  (see the competitor list here).  In the early days of commerce Amazon faced well funded competition from the likes of Pets.com, Buy.com, Furniture.com, and thousands of others.  Many of these are not around anymore and others are simply shells of of their former selves.  Amazon built up its defensives with broad product coverage  (tons of categories and the marketplace) and innovating in features and services like product reviews (hard to replicate) and Amazon Prime (customer lock-in).   So, what will Groupon do to quickly start establishing its defensibility?  Here are three ideas:

  1. Multiple Parallel Deals:  This is another way of saying broad offer selection. With only a deal or two a day per city (~50 or so cities) the activation energy a competitor needs to catch up is fairly small (sales force and some search marketing spend).  If they had more liquidity on the supply side (hundreds of deals per day per city) it would be very hard to create this kind of supply with a sales force.  To do this effectively they need to build a recommendation engine that ensures that I never see a deal for a pedicure.
  2. Turn Competitors into Sales Franchises: Local businesses don’t have the time or desire to transact with multiple group buying sites. Furthermore, Groupon’s competitor’s are starting to plateau, as this happens will seek new ways to generate incremental revenues.  Groupon can avoid a bloody fight with these competitors by turning them into a local sales franchise.  They bring deals to Groupon and in return get a cut of any deals sold. Of course, these local sales franchises have to use all the listings and contract management systems Groupon provides.
  3. Build Local Business Reviews:   For each deal many hundreds of people experience the service.  If 10% of these wrote a detailed review they could quickly become an excellent source of business reviews.  Today’s Groupon in San Jose is running a deal for Cindy’s Yoga (see here) that 792 people purchased.  If ten percent of purchasers wrote a review (or 79 reviews) Groupon would have 36 more reviews than Yelp’s listing for Cindy’s Yoga (see here).

Pricing Product Complements

Friday, June 25th, 2010

37Signals recently launched an iPad app called Draft. Draft is a simple sketching application with built-in integration to Campfire, another 37Signals product. Now for the controversial part: Draft costs $9.99 while Adobe offers a similar app for free. This pricing strategy is a mistake.

Their objective centers around maximizing profit from the complementary product (Draft) rather than the core subscription product, Campfire. This is akin to Bloomberg trying to charge a hefty premium for content — Bloomberg news content is a complementary product to their lucrative subscription Bloomberg Terminal business.

The objective should be to get every Campfire user with an iPad to purchase the Draft app.  Price it low enough to make it a no-brainer decision for these users.  If every Campfire user (with an iPad) purchased the Draft iPad app Campfire would become far more valuable. Campfire users would post more content via Draft and more conversations around the content creates deeper customer lock-in.  As Campfire becomes more valuable customer are less likely to cancel their subscription.  37Signals knows better then anybody else that losing a subscription revenue generating customer is very hard to replace.

Given the amount of controversy this $10 price point is generating the last thing 37Signals needs is Campfire users thinking twice about purchasing the app — at $4 or $5 these types of users don’t think twice.

[See here for an excellent essay on product complements by Joel Spolsky)

Why Barring AdMob (aka Google) from the iOS is a Smart Move

Thursday, June 10th, 2010

Two platforms are emerging the mobile operating system platform and nested within it is the mobile app and ad platform.  For over a decade Google played for keeps in its platform (search connects searchers and advertisers), so why shouldn’t Apple do the same? By barring AdMob from the iOS they:

  1. Limits Google’s Ability to Achieve Mobile Ad Dominance: The mobile ad business is a two-sided network. Apple is ripping away one side of that marketplace (or at least a very large chunk of it — 100M eyeballs).  This will limit AdMob’s (i.e. Google) ability to achieve critical mass in the mobile ad space during these formative growth years.
  2. iAd Accelerator: With AdMob out of the picture advertisers will move their mobile ad budgets to other ad networks and clearly  the iAd network will grab some of these dollars accelerating its growth as it attempts to reach critical mass.  Remember, in any market with strong network effects the strong get stronger and the weak get weaker.  Apple is positioning iAd to get stronger.
  3. Keeps Ad Innovation Alive (some): A key hallmark of an open system is the increased rate of innovation. By opening iPhone to select mobile ad networks the iOS platform will still benefit from the ad innovation these providers generate.
  4. Switching Costs for Developers are Still Low: In a mature market developers could incur significant switching costs i.e. if AdMob had 10x better ad relevancy algorithms combined with an advertiser base 20x the combined competition it would be challenging for the others players to match the revenues developers were generating.  But in such a nascent marketplace nobody has these kinds of advantages.
    • Other mobile ad networks (Apple iAd, Millennial, Greystripe, and Mojiva) will quickly pick up the slack and provide comparable monetization rates.
    • The cost of switching to another ad mobile provider is not significant – a new billing relationship, a couple of lines of code, and new analytic tools to monitor your performance.
    • The vast majority of mobile developers making real money (now) are not doing so with AdMob display ads — they are doing it with paid apps.

Finally, do you really believe that app developers would give up access to 100M mobile users who have a credit card on file.

Why I Stopped Using Aardvark and Became a Quora Addict

Wednesday, June 9th, 2010

I stopped using Aardvark for three reasons:

  • It felt very transactional — it lacked soul and depth.
  • It invaded my private space (my instant messenger sessions).
  • It performed well at questions that classic search engines and/or discovery site like Yelp usually handle well e.g. what bike stores are in Palo Alto or where can I find a free SVN MacOS client. You can get answers to these questions without nagging somebody.

On the other hand, I have become a Quora addict for three reasons:

  • Performs well at questions not well suited for a search engine: opinion, multiple constraints scenarios, hypothetical scenarios, etc.  For example startup founders and investors commonly ask “How did company X get traction.”  When somebody with knowledge of that company answers it provides insight that a search engine cannot find because that content previously did not exist.
  • Provides depth and insight — by keeping questions alive, providing answer summaries, etc. the content can become richer.
  • Feels like a natural conversation.  Quora is like a party where you can jump in and out of conversations of interest.  Whereas Aardvark which feels like a party where everybody is separated by a wall.

This blog post is adapted from my answer on Quora.  You should follow me on Quora here.

My Reading List for Product Managers

Wednesday, June 9th, 2010

I finally got around to putting together my recommended reading list for consumer web product managers.  You don’t need to carry the title of product manager — this is for anybody (engineer, designer, etc.) who is the CEO of a user facing feature(s).

Have more recommendations to add to my reading, add them to the comments below.